Dr William Gray and Dr Philip Klotzbach, of Colorado State University at the National Tropical Weather Conference in April forecasted a “quiet” 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season with nine named storms and three hurricanes, only one of which is expected to be "major" category 3, 4 or 5. The season starts on 1st June.
Klotzbach said a predicted El Niño is one factor that led to their quiet forecast. El Niño, a climate pattern defined by warmer-than-normal water in the tropical Pacific Ocean, tends to suppress Atlantic Hurricanes. Climate change experts are also not predicting any increase in hurricane frequency but are predicting an increase in intensity.
In light of the predictions for the upcoming hurricane season, residents of the Turks and Caicos Islands may be tempted to become complacent, however the DDME would like to encourage residents to begin preparations now in order to be well prepared for the Hurricane Season. In spite of the predictions we still have to take every possible precaution in the event of a hurricane making landfall in the TCI.
It is important therefore that all residents and business owners begin ensuring that their insurance policies and disaster plans are in place, begin property inspection of roofs, walls and shutters and begin all minor repairs for the upcoming hurricane season. The DDME reminded everyone that it only takes one hurricane impacting the islands to bring severe damage and disruption to normal daily routine. The key to minimising any disruption is adequate preparation.
The following names will be used for the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, and Wilfred.