Tropical Storm Cristobal three-day forecast track. NHC/NOAA graphic
Tropical Storm Cristobal formed on Sunday over the Bahamas and storm warnings have been issued for the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, where heavy rainfall is likely. Interests in the northwestern Bahamas should also monitor the progress of this system.
According to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, at 1100 am EDT on Sunday, the centre of Tropical Storm Cristobal was located about 130 miles east of Long Island in The Bahamas, moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph. This general motion, with a decrease in forward speed, is expected for the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the centre of Cristobal will move near or over portions of the central Bahamas through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph, with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for the southeastern Bahamas, including Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana and the Ragged Islands, as well as for the Turks and Caicos Islands and the central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay and San Salvador.
Cristobal is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches over the Turks and Caicos Islands as well as the southeastern and central Bahamas through Tuesday, with isolated amounts around 12 inches possible. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread northward across the warning area through Sunday night.